Fortuna Wormerveer vs SDZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
11º
8º
19
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 2
FWO
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
AGB
2 - 1
FWO
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 1
DSO
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 2
FWO
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FWO
5 - 0
ASS
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SDZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDZ
5 - 1
UIT
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ASS
9 - 0
SDZ
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SDZ
1 - 11
35%
22%
44%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AGB
8 - 0
SDZ
67%
17%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SDZ
4 - 1
HIL
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |