Fortuna Wormerveer vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
48.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
FWO
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FWO
0 - 0
ACH
18%
18%
64%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BEQ
1 - 0
FWO
58%
19%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FWO
1 - 2
DEM
29%
21%
49%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HOO
3 - 0
FWO
69%
16%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 0
ALC
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
4 - 1
SDO
36%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUR
0 - 0
ALC
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 1
MSC
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SIL
5 - 1
ALC
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |