Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 3
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
UTR
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ADO
3 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
FOR
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
HER
38%
25%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
VVV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |