Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
VIT
3 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 2
TWE
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
FEY
2 - 3
FOR
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
47%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
SCH
6 - 1
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 0
RBC
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
AZA
2 - 3
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 1
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |