Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 2
TWE
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BVO
0 - 0
FOR
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 3
FEY
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
RKC
0 - 3
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 3
VIT
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
2 - 1
FEY
34%
24%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
1 - 2
AZA
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
1 - 1
TWE
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |