Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
FOR
2 - 2
UTR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
FOR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
FOR
2 - 2
GRO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
FOR
2 - 5
PSV
15%
24%
62%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
RKC
2 - 2
FOR
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
WIL
2 - 4
VIT
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCD
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
WIL
4 - 0
VVV
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |