Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1990 |
FOR
3 - 2
FEY
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
TWE
1 - 0
FOR
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 3
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
FOR
1 - 0
SVV
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
SPA
2 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
WIL
3 - 2
FEY
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
SVV
0 - 0
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |