Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
FOR
0 - 1
MVV
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
UTR
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
FOR
2 - 2
AZA
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
SPA
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
VIT
5 - 1
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
GRA
0 - 3
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
SPA
0 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 2
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |