Fortuna Sittard vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 3
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
RJC
0 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
VOL
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 3
UTR
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
74%
16%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1996 |
PSV
3 - 0
DBA
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
PSV
0 - 0
VIT
75%
15%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |