Fortuna Sittard vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
FCD
2 - 2
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
TEL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
ACH
0 - 1
FOR
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 4
BOS
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
JON
4 - 1
RKC
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
JON
6 - 3
ALM
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 2
JON
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
FCE
0 - 0
JON
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
HEL
2 - 4
JON
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |