Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
14º
11º
38
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
RKC
1 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AZA
1 - 0
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SCH
2 - 2
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 4
ZWO
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
HER
4 - 2
ZWO
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
HER
2 - 2
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
HER
4 - 2
GAE
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
HER
2 - 0
UTR
25%
23%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |