Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
BVO
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOS
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EIN
0 - 3
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
MVV
2 - 2
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 1
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
5 - 2
GAE
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |