Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
HEL
0 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
TEL
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
BVO
2 - 1
FOR
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
RBC
2 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
BVO
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
FCD
1 - 2
GRA
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
BOS
0 - 3
GRA
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
RBC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |