Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
RBC
2 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
MVV
2 - 1
FOR
67%
20%
12%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 4
FCE
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
HEL
0 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
TEL
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
3 - 1
HEL
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCE
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 0
TEL
64%
20%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
FCO
4 - 2
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
0 - 1
GRA
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |