Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
BVV
2 - 2
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 0
BVO
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
EIN
2 - 3
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 4
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
HER
3 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPA
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
HFC
1 - 0
GRA
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
BOS
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
MVV
0 - 4
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
GRA
4 - 0
BVV
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |