Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
RJC
0 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
VOL
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 3
UTR
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 2
FEY
12%
22%
66%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
4 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |