Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
WIL
4 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOS
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1993 |
AJA
5 - 1
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
GRA
3 - 2
GAE
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
SPA
4 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
GRA
2 - 3
NEC
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
PSV
5 - 0
GRA
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
GRA
1 - 1
MVV
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |