Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
VVV
4 - 1
FOR
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
MVV
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
JON
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
EIN
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
HEL
0 - 4
GAE
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
GAE
3 - 2
VOL
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
EIN
0 - 0
GAE
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 4
GAE
37%
25%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
GAE
5 - 0
FCO
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |