Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VVV
1 - 3
FOR
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
10%
17%
74%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 0
ADO
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
FOR
47%
24%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 3
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 2
UTR
10%
18%
73%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 1
FCE
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 6
UTR
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 1
VVV
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |