Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
NEC
1 - 0
FOR
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
FOR
1 - 1
RJC
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
WIL
2 - 0
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
FOR
2 - 0
BOS
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
GRO
0 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
82%
12%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
UTR
3 - 0
NEC
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1989 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
UTR
2 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BOS
2 - 0
UTR
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |