Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
14º
11º
39
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
16%
19%
65%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
UTR
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
VKG
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
GAE
42%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRO
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |