Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis

Fortuna Sittard Excelsior
66 ELO 66
13.5% Tilt 10.3%
517º General ELO ranking 614º
16º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
39.7%
Fortuna Sittard
24.3%
Draw
35.9%
Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
Fortuna Sittard
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.9%
Win probability
Excelsior
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Sittard
-6%
+5%
Excelsior

Points and table prediction

Fortuna Sittard
Their league position
Excelsior
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
18º
13º
32
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feyenoord
82
82
100%
PSV
75
75
100%
Ajax
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
67
67
100%
Twente
64
64
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
59
59
100%
Utrecht
54
54
100%
Heerenveen
46
46
100%
RKC Waalwijk
41
41
100%
Vitesse
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
11º
40
40
11º
100%
NEC Nijmegen
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Fortuna Sittard
13º
36
36
13º
0%
FC Volendam
14º
36
36
14º
0%
Excelsior
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Emmen
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Cambuur
17º
19
19
17º
100%
Groningen
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2022
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
44%
27%
29%
66 70 4 0
02 Sep. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
3 - 4
Utrecht
UTR
20%
23%
57%
66 79 13 0
27 Aug. 2022
SCH
Heerenveen
2 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
52%
25%
23%
66 74 8 0
20 Aug. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 4
Cambuur
BVO
32%
25%
43%
67 72 5 -1
14 Aug. 2022
TWE
Twente
3 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
63%
22%
15%
68 80 12 -1

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2022
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 1
Emmen
FCE
33%
25%
42%
66 75 9 0
04 Sep. 2022
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
5 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
44%
25%
31%
67 69 2 -1
31 Aug. 2022
TWE
Twente
4 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
61%
22%
17%
68 81 13 -1
28 Aug. 2022
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 6
PSV
PSV
12%
18%
70%
68 88 20 0
12 Aug. 2022
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
22%
24%
54%
66 80 14 +2