Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 1
JON
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 0
FOR
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 0
TEL
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
VVV
0 - 2
EXC
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
5 - 2
EIN
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
HEL
2 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |