Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
FCD
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
APE
2 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
TEL
5 - 2
FOR
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
BVV
64%
20%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
17%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
VVV
49%
23%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
EIN
3 - 0
EXC
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |