Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 0
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
FOR
2 - 0
HFC
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 3
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 0
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
UTR
3 - 2
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 3
WIL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |