Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 1
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VVV
3 - 2
FOR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
ZWO
33%
25%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
NEC
2 - 3
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AZA
0 - 2
WIL
66%
19%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VVV
2 - 2
AZA
23%
22%
55%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
KON
2 - 3
AZA
5%
11%
84%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 1
AZA
16%
21%
63%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |