Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis

Fortuna Sittard Ajax
68 ELO 89
11.4% Tilt 10.4%
516º General ELO ranking 102º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11.2%
Fortuna Sittard
17.8%
Draw
71%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
Fortuna Sittard
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71%
Win probability
Ajax
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Sittard
-6%
+5%
Ajax

Points and table prediction

Fortuna Sittard
Their league position
Ajax
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
18º
13º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feyenoord
82
82
100%
PSV
75
75
100%
Ajax
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
67
67
100%
Twente
64
64
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
59
59
100%
Utrecht
54
54
100%
Heerenveen
46
46
100%
RKC Waalwijk
41
41
100%
Vitesse
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
11º
40
40
11º
100%
NEC Nijmegen
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Fortuna Sittard
13º
36
36
13º
0%
FC Volendam
14º
36
36
14º
0%
Excelsior
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Emmen
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Cambuur
17º
19
19
17º
100%
Groningen
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
3 - 3
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
21%
24%
55%
68 85 17 0
09 Jul. 2022
LEU
OH Leuven
1 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
49%
23%
28%
68 70 2 0
06 Jul. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
25%
23%
52%
68 79 11 0
02 Jul. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
2 - 3
Viktoria Köln
VIK
60%
20%
20%
68 61 7 0
15 May. 2022
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
40%
27%
34%
67 68 1 +1

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2022
ALM
Almere City
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
4%
14%
82%
88 61 27 0
30 Jul. 2022
AJA
Ajax
3 - 5
PSV
PSV
45%
22%
32%
88 88 0 0
26 Jul. 2022
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
65%
19%
16%
88 85 3 0
19 Jul. 2022
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 3
Ajax
AJA
22%
22%
56%
88 82 6 0
15 Jul. 2022
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
KAS Eupen
EUP
86%
9%
4%
88 66 22 0