Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
76.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
FOR
39%
24%
38%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
FOR
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 3
FOR
54%
23%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
RKC
60%
21%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 2
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
8%
14%
78%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |