Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 0
FOR
81%
14%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 1
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
GRA
5 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 3
UTR
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 0
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
RKC
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2002 |
AJA
4 - 0
GRO
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |