Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
GAE
2 - 0
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 1
SPA
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 2
FOR
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 0
WIL
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
AJA
6 - 1
TWE
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1996 |
BVB
0 - 2
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
VIT
2 - 1
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1996 |
AJA
4 - 0
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
AJA
6 - 2
SCH
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |