Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ADO
3 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
FOR
1 - 1
UTR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
TWE
0 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FOR
2 - 4
PSV
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
FCD
1 - 5
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
DUN
0 - 2
AJA
12%
19%
68%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
BOS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 2
ADO
91%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
DUN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
UTR
2 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |