Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
VVV
1 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
BVV
2 - 2
FOR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
FOR
4 - 0
ADO
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
FOR
2 - 0
GAE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVV
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
ZAR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
27%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
GAE
1 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |