Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
EVE
17%
26%
57%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
FOR
3 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
EVE
3 - 0
FOR
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 2
AZA
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
AJA
6 - 1
NAC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |