Fortuna 75 Lelydorp vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 75 Lelydorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
RES
7 - 0
FOR
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
DES
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
SJH
2 - 2
FOR
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 2
DES
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ELI
2 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 1
FCS
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 0
INR
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
DES
2 - 1
NOT
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
TAM
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SNL
0 - 1
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |