Fortuna 75 Lelydorp vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 75 Lelydorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 7
SNL
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
DES
1 - 3
FOR
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
ELI
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
5 - 0
ROY
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 3
NOT
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 5
YOR
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
TBR
1 - 0
NOT
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 1
PEU
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 2
SJH
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |