Fortuna 75 Lelydorp vs Excelsior Meerzorg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 75 Lelydorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
LAV
68%
18%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
TAK
0 - 0
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
ELI
46%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 1
KAM
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
NOT
3 - 3
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
KAM
3 - 4
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
SNL
62%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
ELI
1 - 2
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 1
YOR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 4
EXC
24%
24%
53%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |