Fortuna Köln vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ERZ
4 - 0
KÖL
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 3
EBT
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
HOL
2 - 1
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 4
PRE
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
WER
2 - 0
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
WAT
5 - 4
DRE
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
5 - 0
WAT
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
WAT
1 - 0
KFC
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
LUB
1 - 1
WAT
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
WAT
1 - 1
OSN
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |