Fortuna Köln vs Wacker 04 Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1975 |
STP
3 - 2
KÖL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
KFC
1 - 0
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
KÖL
7 - 0
FCM
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 0
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 2
OWI
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Wacker 04 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1975 |
WAB
1 - 0
HAN
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
ARB
3 - 0
WAB
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
WAB
1 - 2
ISC
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
WAB
0 - 2
KFC
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 0
WAB
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |