Fortuna Köln vs Neuss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
HAM
3 - 1
KÖL
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ROT
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
KÖL
0 - 2
BSC
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
EID
2 - 2
KÖL
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ROT
24%
23%
54%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Neuss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
NEU
0 - 0
BSC
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
EID
0 - 2
NEU
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
NEU
0 - 0
ROT
21%
22%
56%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
F95
4 - 2
NEU
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
NEU
1 - 2
SWE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |