Fortuna Köln vs Neuss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
EGE
1 - 1
KÖL
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
LEV
2 - 0
KÖL
66%
18%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
KÖL
4 - 2
BOT
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
KÖL
0 - 5
ROT
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
BOC
6 - 0
KÖL
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neuss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
NEU
1 - 1
BOT
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
ROT
4 - 2
NEU
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
NEU
1 - 4
BOC
43%
24%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
NEU
1 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
HAM
3 - 2
NEU
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |