Fortuna Köln vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
KFC
1 - 1
KÖL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
KÖL
0 - 0
OSN
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
KÖL
2 - 2
KAI
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CZJ
0 - 1
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VFR
1 - 1
ZWI
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
KSC
0 - 3
VFR
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VFR
0 - 1
HAL
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PRE
4 - 0
VFR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
VFR
4 - 1
UNT
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |