Fortuna Köln vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 0
KÖL
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
AAA
0 - 1
KÖL
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
STE
0 - 2
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MAI
4 - 0
KÖL
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
KÖL
0 - 3
MSV
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
NUR
2 - 3
VFR
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ULM
2 - 0
VFR
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
WER
1 - 0
VFR
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VFR
2 - 2
MAG
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MAI
2 - 0
VFR
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |