Fortuna Köln vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SVS
2 - 1
KÖL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
KÖL
1 - 3
KOL
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 0
KÖL
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SSV
4 - 0
KÖL
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WEH
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 1
STU
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 3
ING
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 1
VFR
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VFR
2 - 4
HEI
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |