Fortuna Köln vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GEW
2 - 0
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KÖL
4 - 0
ERK
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HUL
0 - 5
KÖL
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 2
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 1
SPE
74%
18%
9%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
5 - 1
WHE
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 0
SPE
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
WEG
0 - 0
SPE
14%
22%
64%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 0
SPO
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |