Fortuna Köln vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
KÖL
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 2
HAM
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
MSV
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 0
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
VFB
76%
17%
8%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
VFB
0 - 5
GAL
10%
19%
72%
|
29 | 86 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VFB
2 - 4
DUS
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
AAA
5 - 1
VFB
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
VFB
1 - 1
WUP
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |