Fortuna Köln vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
KÖL
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
KÖL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WUP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 3
KÖL
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VIK
1 - 3
KÖL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 4
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
VEL
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
VEL
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOR
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +4 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MSV
4 - 0
VEL
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |