Fortuna Köln vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 2
KÖL
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ROT
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WHE
0 - 2
KÖL
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
SPE
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 2
WHE
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WEG
2 - 2
VEL
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -3 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GEW
2 - 1
VEL
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |