Fortuna Köln vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+137%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GEW
2 - 1
KÖL
13%
22%
65%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
KÖL
5 - 1
WAT
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 0
KÖL
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 2
AAA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
KÖL
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GUT
1 - 0
VEL
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 2
GEW
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 4
ESS
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
SOI
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
DSC
1 - 4
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |