Fortuna Köln vs TuS Koblenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 1
KÖL
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 1
DIE
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TUS
0 - 3
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
TUS
0 - 2
BOC
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 3
TUS
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
TUS
0 - 2
S04
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
IDA
0 - 3
TUS
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |