Fortuna Köln vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
KÖL
0 - 1
STU
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ROS
4 - 0
KÖL
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
KÖL
0 - 0
BOR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 1
KÖL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SGD
2 - 0
ARB
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 0
SGD
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
SGD
2 - 1
SLI
23%
23%
53%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SGD
2 - 3
HAL
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 0
SGD
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |